The Latest: January - 2025
Heifer Shortage Slows Growth in Milk Production
With cull rates at a 16-year low, the industry was able to stabilize the dairy herd, but growth was fleeting. There were 9.351 million milk cows in the final month of 2024, just 3,000 more than in December 2023 and 9,000 fewer than there were in November.
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The Cheddar market was already red hot, but barrels pushed the mercury even higher this week.
View reportFresh cheese is tight, and the markets seem to have someone – or several someones – over a barrel. High prices are working to trim demand at the margins, boost production, and attract imports.
View reportJudgment is further clouded by stupefying volatility and a sense of déjà vu. Sky-high cheese prices are simply difficult to sustain.
View reportThe bulls are still bruised after getting walloped in mid-September, when spot cheese staged an invigorating climb followed by a dramatic collapse.
View reportThe fundamentals of the milk powder market seem particularly healthy, and the bulls are roaming free.
View reportAfter much volatility, the boundaries are becoming clearer. The spread between blocks and barrels narrowed, adding another layer of uncertainty to the already complex cheese markets.
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