The Latest: January - 2026
Have the Bulls Returned
But even though the specter of excess global milk supplies has by now become familiar, the bears seem to have taken a breather this week. For the second event in a row, the Global Dairy Trade index moved up, rising 1.5% on the back of stronger prices for fats and powders. Similarly, the CME spot market did an about face with values rising across nearly every product. While we remain a far cry from declaring that the bulls have returned, these increases are nevertheless an indication that the market may be finding some support at prevailing levels.
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Milk is undeniably long and with the spring flush imminent in most parts of the country, supplies are expected to remain plentiful. Yet even as milk remains abundant, demand has also perked up, helping to keep markets in balance. Butter manufacturers report that domestic demand has been healthy while the spot whey market continued to reach new heights, setting another record this week.
View reportOver the past year, the dairy markets have exhibited extreme volatility, adjusting to drastic shifts in both supply and demand. Consumer behaviors are shifting back towards something that resembles pre-pandemic times.
View reportWith a sense of normalcy restored, and the spring flush rapidly approaching, milk is still plentiful and has resulted in copious dairy product production.
View reportMany plants are keeping busy schedules as they attempt to compensate for last week’s closures, while displaced spot loads of milk and cream continue to search for homes.
View reportThough it will take some time for the impacts of the weather to become fully appreciated, a reduction in milk production and increase in culling is likely in the coming weeks.
View reportInventories for most dairy products remain heavier than typical for this time of year. Nevertheless, the situation is evolving and tighter markets could be on the horizon.
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