The Latest: August - 2026
More Cows Equals More Milk
USDA raised its estimate of June milk production as well, from an already strong 2.3% increase to an impressive 3% advance. Dairy producers did not add any cows in July, according to USDA’s best guess, but they didn’t get rid of any either. The dairy herd held steady at 9.71 million cows, up 199,000 from the year before. The U.S. dairy industry is milking more cows than it has in 33 years, and those cows are making 59% more milk than they did in 1993, the last time the herd was this large, before adjusting for today’s super-charged components.
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Soaring temperatures in much of the country and unusually humid conditions in the Southwest added up to a lot of stress. National average milk yields fell short of year-ago levels, an exceptionally rare occurrence.
View reportAccording to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the U.S. just suffered its hottest summer ever. Soaring temperatures weighed on milk yields and tightened supplies as heat stress accumulated late in the summer and into September.
View reportThe Global Dairy Trade (GDT) auction kicked things off with bang and all products gained significant ground. Cheesemakers are running at their usual pace, as long as they can find the staff to do so and demand remains healthy.
View reportCME spot butter jumped 9ȼ this week. July butter production fell 0.8% short of the frantic pace of July 2020, but was still historically high. There is plenty of butter socked away to last through the fall and holiday baking season.
View reportHeat, humidity, and smoke are sapping milk yields around the nation. Higher Class I sales from coast to coast, coupled with sweltering temperatures, has tightened milk supplies noticeably. Meanwhile, students are back in school and all are eligible for free lunches with a carton of milk on the side.
View reportThere is an abundance of milk in both the United States and Europe, but momentum is slowing. The combination of summer temperatures and back-to-school demand has tightened milk supplies noticeably.
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