The Latest: January - 2025
Cheese Markets Are Searching for Direction
In the rearview mirror, booming exports and a steep drop in U.S. cheese stocks argue for higher prices. On the horizon, a potential trade war, a strong dollar, and shiny new cheese plants have set the stage for a setback.
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USDA’s Dairy Market News reports that domestic cheese demand is “healthy”. Exporters are busy moving product they contracted to sell last month when prices were lower, which tightens the supply of fresh cheese available for sale in Chicago.
View reportClass III and Class IV futures settled today not far from where they finished last Friday.Those prices are generally disappointing for dairy producers, but they are not low enough to significantly slow milk output. The dairy herd is massive, and it’s likely to stay that way for a while.
View reportThe mercury is climbing on the West Coast and heat stress is dragging down milk yields. In the Northeast temperatures are expected to average above normal, gradually bringing an end to the spring flush. But in the Midwest and Southern Plains it’s unusually cool. Milk yields have slipped from the peak, but the mild weather is prolonging the flush, no matter what the calendar says.
View reportAfter a few hot weeks, stress is starting to sap milk yields. Nevertheless, there is more milk than manufacturers can accommodate in the Southwest and mountain states despite supply management programs.
View reportSummer is off to a sweltering start in much of the nation and there is still plenty of milk. Cheese plants are running full throttle, demand is strong and exports are booming.
View reportExports will be an important outlet for a market that is heavy with product. There is plenty of milk, and cheese plants are running full throttle.
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